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Abstract (Last Update: January 02, 2024)

Abstract (Last Update: Jan. 06, 2024)

Abstract (Last Update: January 02, 2024)

This paper develops a new asset pricing model designed to address the limitations of the Federal Housing Finance Agency's repeat sales method, particularly in accurately measuring housing prices in low-volume trading areas. In classical asset pricing models, the dynamic programming approach assumes a recursive relationship in which decisions are based on state variables from the previous period. While this approach is more reliable with abundant data, limited data can introduce significant bias, as the model may struggle to accurately capture the underlying dynamics in low-sample scenarios. Using Bayesian inference, this paper aims to propose a robust framework that overcomes this bias.

This paper develops a new asset pricing model designed to address the limitations of the Federal Housing Finance Agency's repeat sales method, particularly in accurately measuring housing prices in low-volume trading areas. In classical asset pricing models, the dynamic programming approach assumes a recursive relationship in which decisions are based on state variables from the previous period. While this approach is more reliable with abundant data, limited data can introduce significant bias, as the model may struggle to accurately capture the underlying dynamics in low-sample scenarios. Using Bayesian inference, this paper aims to propose a robust framework that overcomes this bias.

This paper develops a new asset pricing model designed to address the limitations of the Federal Housing Finance Agency's repeat sales method, particularly in accurately measuring housing prices in low-volume trading areas. In classical asset pricing models, the dynamic programming approach assumes a recursive relationship in which decisions are based on state variables from the previous period. While this approach is more reliable with abundant data, limited data can introduce significant bias, as the model may struggle to accurately capture the underlying dynamics in low-sample scenarios. Using Bayesian inference, this paper aims to propose a robust framework that overcomes this bias.

Selected Figures & Tables

Selected Figures & Tables

Selected Figures & Tables

Figures 1.
Stylized Fact: Example

Figures 1.
Stylized Fact: Example

Figures 1.
Stylized Fact: Example

National Flood Insurance Hurricane Sandy
National Flood Insurance Hurricane Sandy
National Flood Insurance Hurricane Sandy

Figure 1 shows the association of annual house price growth rate with the aggregate trading volume turnover between 2014 and 2021 using datasets from the Federal Housing Finance Agency and CoreLogic Tax and Deed data.

Figure 1 shows the association of annual house price growth rate with the aggregate trading volume turnover between 2014 and 2021 using datasets from the Federal Housing Finance Agency and CoreLogic Tax and Deed data.

Figure 1 shows the association of annual house price growth rate with the aggregate trading volume turnover between 2014 and 2021 using datasets from the Federal Housing Finance Agency and CoreLogic Tax and Deed data.

Conclusion

Conclusion

Conclusion

Work-in-progress.

Work-in-progress.

Work-in-progress.

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